World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Mar 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Nagyerdei Stadion

Israel
2 - 4
Norway

Abu Fani (55'), Turgeman (90+3')
Nachmias (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Moller Wolfe (39'), Sorloth (59'), Ajer (65'), Haaland (83')
Heggem (31'), Sorloth (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Israel and Norway, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Israel

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Israel 2-1 Estonia
Saturday, March 22 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Current League A2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	6	6	13
2	Italy	6	5	13
3	Belgium	6	-3	4
4	Israel	6	-8	4

Norway

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Moldova 0-5 Norway
Saturday, March 22 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Austria	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 51.88%. A win for Israel had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Israel win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.

Result
Israel	Draw	Norway
25.5% ( -0.68)	22.62% ( -0)	51.88% ( 0.67)

Both teams to score 60.24% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.16% (

-0.61)

39.83% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.8% (

-0.64)

62.19% (

0.63)

Israel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.27% (

-0.83)

28.73% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.43% (

-1.05)

64.56% (

1.04)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.52% (

0.01)

15.48% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.64% (

0.02)

44.35% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Israel 25.5%

Norway 51.88%

Draw 22.61%

Israel	Draw	Norway
2-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.42% Total : 25.5%	1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.61%	1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 6% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.8% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.79% Total : 51.88%