/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Ficelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbullog.png)
-
Hörður Magnússon
4'
-
Mikael Egill Ellertsson
32'
-
Orri Óskarsson
37'
-
Orri Óskarsson
60'
-
Mikael Egill Ellertsson
90'
-
Lukas Petkov
10'
-
Dimitar Velkovski
27'
-
Atanas Iliev
59'
-
Marin Petkov
80'
Iceland vs Bulgaria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 0-1 (6.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result
Iceland
45.8%
▼
(-0.71)
Draw
24.98%
▼
(-0.11)
Bulgaria
29.25%
▲
(+0.86)
Both Teams to Score:
55.23%
▲
(+0.96)
Goals
Over 1.5
78.14%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 1.5
21.86%
▼
(-0.31)
Over 2.5
56%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 2.5
44%
▼
(-0.37)
Over 3.5
35.46%
▲
(+1.64)
Under 3.5
64.54%
▼
(-1.63)
Over 4.5
21.84%
▲
(+1.15)
Under 4.5
78.16%
▼
(-1.16)
First Half Winner
Iceland
37.06%
▼
(-0.15)
Draw
37.66%
▲
(+0.94)
Bulgaria
25.28%
▼
(-0.80)
Team To Score First
Iceland
51.9%
▼
(-0.51)
No Goal
6.18%
▼
(-0.17)
Bulgaria
41.92%
▲
(+0.68)
Corners
Over 8
51.5%
▼
(-2.35)
Equal 8
11.86%
▼
(-0.68)
Under 8
36.64%
▲
(+3.03)
Over 9
39.99%
▼
(-1.45)
Equal 9
11.51%
▼
(-0.90)
Under 9
48.5%
▲
(+2.35)
Over 10.5
29.73%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 10.5
70.27%
▲
(+0.54)
Iceland Goals
Over 1.5
47.43%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 1.5
52.57%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 2.5
23.68%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
76.32%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 3.5
10.31%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 3.5
89.69%
▼
(-0.19)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5
64.26%
▲
(+0.58)
Under 0.5
35.74%
▼
(-0.58)
Over 1.5
33.22%
▲
(+1.42)
Under 1.5
66.78%
▼
(-1.43)
Over 2.5
13.83%
▲
(+1.14)
Under 2.5
86.17%
▼
(-1.13)
Over 3.5
4.76%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 3.5
95.24%
▼
(-0.21)
Score analysis
Iceland
45.79%
Draw
24.98%
Bulgaria
29.26%
Iceland
1-0
@
8.86%
▼
(-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.43% ▼ (-0.35)
2-0 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.52)
3-2 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 9.82% ▲ (+0.22)
Total : 45.79%
2-1 @ 8.43% ▼ (-0.35)
2-0 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.52)
3-2 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 9.82% ▲ (+0.22)
Total : 45.79%
Draw
1-1
@
10.9%
▼
(-0.45)
0-0 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.29)
3-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.25)
Other @ 0.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 24.98%
0-0 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.29)
3-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.25)
Other @ 0.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 24.98%
Bulgaria
0-1
@
6.85%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.42)
0-2 @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.37)
1-3 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.23)
2-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.44)
0-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.23)
Total : 29.26%
1-2 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.42)
0-2 @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.37)
1-3 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.23)
2-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.44)
0-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.23)
Total : 29.26%