World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
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-
Carl Sainte
14'
-
Jean-Kevin Duverne
47'
-
Duckens Nazon
77'
-
Christopher Attys
90'+1'
-
Caniggia Elva
18'
-
Peter Pearson
74'
-
Melvin Doxilly
90'+3'
Haiti vs Saint Lucia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Saint Lucia had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Saint Lucia win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Haiti in this match.
Result
Haiti
39.99%
▼
(-0.45)
Draw
24.04%
▼
(-0.06)
Saint Lucia
35.96%
▲
(+0.50)
Both Teams to Score:
61.16%
▲
(+0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.79%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 2.5
41.2%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 3.5
36.4%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 3.5
63.6%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 4.5
19.32%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 4.5
80.67%
▼
(-0.25)
Haiti Goals
Over 0.5
79.22%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
20.78%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
46.57%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
53.42%
▲
(+0.11)
Saint Lucia Goals
Over 0.5
77.21%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 0.5
22.79%
▼
(-0.42)
Over 1.5
43.51%
▲
(+0.61)
Under 1.5
56.49%
▼
(-0.61)
Score analysis
Haiti
39.99%
Draw
24.04%
Saint Lucia
35.96%
Haiti
2-1
@
8.65%
▼
(-0.06)
1-0 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 39.99%
1-0 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 39.99%
Draw
1-1
@
11%
▼
(-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.04%
2-2 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.04%
Saint Lucia
1-2
@
8.14%
▲
(+0.07)
0-1 @ 7% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 35.96%
0-1 @ 7% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 35.96%