Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 15, 2024 at 5pm UK

Estadio Nacional 24 de Setembro

Guinea-Bissau
0 - 0
Mali

Nogueira (31')

Doucoure (76'), Diaby (84'), Diakite (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Guinea-Bissau and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Mali 1-0 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, October 11 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Mali

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Mali 1-0 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, October 11 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 63.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 12.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.08%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.65%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Guinea-Bissau	Draw	Mali
12.16% ( -0.01)	24.22% ( 0.01)	63.62% ( 0)

Both teams to score 33.41% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.37% (

-0.04)

63.63% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.08% (

-0.02)

82.92% (

0.02)

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.77% (

-0.03)

58.23% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.28% (

-0.02)

89.72% (

0.02)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.99% (

-0.01)

20.01% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.79% (

-0.02)

52.21% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Guinea-Bissau 12.16%

Mali 63.61%

Draw 24.21%

Guinea-Bissau	Draw	Mali
1-0 @ 6.3% ( 0) 2-1 @ 2.74% ( -0) 2-0 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 1.41% Total : 12.16%	0-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.02) 1-1 @ 10.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.21% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.21%	0-1 @ 18.74% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 15.08% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 8.09% 1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.25% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 63.61%