Nations League Gameweek 5
Nov 14, 2026 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
  • Giorgi Tsitaishvili 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Willi Orbán 18'
  • yellowcard Milán Vitális 51'
  • goal Lasha Dvali 73' (OG)
  • goal Barnabás Varga 85'

Georgia vs Hungary - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Georgia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Georgia 0 - 1 N. Ireland

Hungary

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Hungary 0 - 1 Ukraine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Hungary win was 0-1 (9.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Georgia 41.26%
Draw 27.03%
Hungary 31.74% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.53%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 28.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 46.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 53.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 25.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 74.54% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 13.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 86.18% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Georgia 33.84%
Draw 42.64%
Hungary 23.52%

Team To Score First

Georgia 52.96%
No Goal 8.26%
Hungary 38.78%

Corners

Over 8 50.44%
Equal 8 12.56%
Under 8 37.01%
Over 9 38.35%
Equal 9 12.09%
Under 9 49.56%
Over 10.5 27.71%
Under 10.5 72.29%

Georgia Goals

Over 1.5 38.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 61.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 15.84% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 84.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.22%
Under 3.5 94.78%

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5 65.36% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 34.64% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 31.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 68.76% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 11.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 88.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 3.47%
Under 3.5 96.53%

Score analysis

Georgia 41.27%
Draw 27.03%
Hungary 31.73%
Georgia
1-0 @ 10.77%
2-1 @ 8.59% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.32%
3-2 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.03%
Total : 41.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.56% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.26%
2-2 @ 4.99%
3-3 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 27.03%
Hungary
0-1 @ 9.11%
1-2 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.79%
0-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 31.73%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 2, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Puskás Aréna
  • Milos Kerkez 35' goal
  • Milos Kerkez 74' yellowcard
  • Tamás Szűcs 82' yellowcard
  • Milán Vitális 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Otar Kiteishvili 33'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Kochorashvili 67'