Nations League Gameweek 4
Oct 5, 2026 7.45pm
Štadión Antona Malatinského

Ukraine vs Hungary - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ukraine

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Hungary 0 - 1 Ukraine

Hungary

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Hungary 0 - 1 Ukraine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hungary win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Ukraine has a probability of 30.99% and a draw has a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Ukraine win is 1-0 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.8%).

Result

Ukraine 30.99% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 25.5% ▼ (-0.08)
Hungary 43.51% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.98% ▲ (+0.26)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.91% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 1.5 25.09% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 2.5 51.52% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 2.5 48.44% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 3.5 28.52% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 3.5 71.45% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 4.5 16.01% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 4.5 83.99% ▼ (-0.27)

First Half Winner

Ukraine 25.93%
Draw 39.21%
Hungary 34.86%

Team To Score First

Ukraine 44.22% ▲ (+0.05)
No Goal 6.96% ▼ (-0.10)
Hungary 48.82% ▲ (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 50.56%
Equal 8 11.45%
Under 8 37.99%
Over 9 39.52%
Equal 9 11.04%
Under 9 49.44%
Over 10.5 29.71%
Under 10.5 70.29%

Ukraine Goals

Over 1.5 32.45% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 67.55% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 2.5 12.24% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 87.76% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 3.84% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 96.16% ▼ (-0.08)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5 74.36% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 0.5 25.64% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 42.12% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 1.5 57.88% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 2.5 18.67% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 81.33% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 6.51% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 93.49% ▼ (-0.11)

Score analysis

Ukraine 31%
Draw 25.51%
Hungary 43.51%
Ukraine
1-0 @ 8.06% ▼ (-0.10)
2-1 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.4%
3-2 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 31%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 25.51%
Hungary
0-1 @ 10.09% ▼ (-0.09)
1-2 @ 9.24% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 43.51%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Puskás Aréna
  • András Schäfer 5' yellowcard
  • Donát Bárány  82' yellowcard
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Milos Kerkez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Volodymyr Brazhko 21'
  • goal Danylo Sikan 42'
  • yellowcard Ilya Krupskyi 49'
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Nazarenko 71'
  • redcard Oleksandr Nazarenko 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Viktor Tsygankov 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Mykola Matvienko 90'+4'