Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 73.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.65% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 8.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.6%) and 3-0 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.19%) , while for a Iraq win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.