World Cup Gameweek 2
Jun 22, 2026 10.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Philadelphia Stadium
  • Kylian Mbappé 14' goal
  • Kylian Mbappé 54' goal
  • Ousmane Dembélé 66' goal
  • yellowcard Amir Al-Ammari 6'

France vs Iraq - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 16, 2026 8.00pm
France 3 - 1 Senegal

Iraq

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 16, 2026 11.00pm
Iraq 1 - 4 Norway

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 73.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.65% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 8.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.6%) and 3-0 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.19%) , while for a Iraq win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result

France 73.05% (+0.10)
Draw 18.65% (-0.06)
Iraq 8.32% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

36% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.14% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 27.86% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 47.7% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 52.3% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 26.85% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 73.15% (-0.20)
Over 4.5 18.54% (+0.18)
Under 4.5 81.46% (-0.19)

France Goals

Over 1.5 60.33% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 39.67% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 33.96% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 66.04% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 15.83% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 84.17% (-0.15)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5 34.13% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 65.87% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 8.72% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 91.28% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 1.69% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 98.31% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.29%
Under 3.5 99.71%

Score analysis

France 73.04%
Draw 18.65%
Iraq 8.33%
France
1-0 @ 15.8% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 15.6% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 8.05% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.64% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.65% (+0.03)
Other @ 15.8% (+0.17)
Total : 73.04%
Draw
0-0 @ 8.19% (-0.04)
1-1 @ 7.83%
2-2 @ 2.26%
Other @ 0.03% (-0.02)
Total : 18.65%
Iraq
0-1 @ 3.89%
1-2 @ 2.11%
0-2 @ 1.01% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.26% (+0.02)
Total : 8.33%

Build-up

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