Copa Libertadores
Aug 12, 2026 1.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
  • Joaquín Tobio Burgos 4' goal
  • Baltasar Rodríguez 74' yellowcard
  • Tomás Palacios 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fernando Zampedri 9'
  • yellowcard Cristian Cuevas 78'
  • goal Fernando Zampedri 80'

Estudiantes vs Universidad Catolica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions

Universidad Catolica

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 (8.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result

Estudiantes 38.44% (-0.04)
Draw 25.62%
Universidad Catolica 35.97% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.01% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.66% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.34% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 51.2% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 48.8% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 29.93% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 70.07% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 17.57%
Under 4.5 82.43%

First Half Winner

Estudiantes 28.95% (-0.02)
Draw 45.18%
Universidad Catolica 25.88% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Estudiantes 47.13%
No Goal 7.37%
Universidad Catolica 45.5%

Corners

Over 8 51.11%
Equal 8 12.17%
Under 8 36.72%
Over 9 39.36%
Equal 9 11.75%
Under 9 48.89%
Over 10.5 28.94%
Under 10.5 71.06%

Estudiantes Goals

Over 1.5 38.38% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 61.62% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 16.25% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 83.75% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.76% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.24% (+0.02)

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5 68.86%
Under 0.5 31.14%
Over 1.5 36.18% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 63.82% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 15.08% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 84.92% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.51% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.49% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Estudiantes 38.45%
Draw 25.6%
Universidad Catolica 35.96%
Estudiantes
1-0 @ 9.08%
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 2.68%
Other @ 5.64% (-0.02)
Total : 38.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.37%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.12% (-0.02)
Total : 25.6%
Universidad Catolica
0-1 @ 8.9%
1-2 @ 7.72%
0-2 @ 5.55% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 2.35%
Other @ 5.39% (+0.02)
Total : 35.96%