Copa Libertadores Gameweek 6
May 29, 2026 1.30am
Estadio Alberto José Armando

Boca Juniors vs Universidad Catolica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 20, 2026 1.30am
Boca Juniors 1 - 1 Cruzeiro

Universidad Catolica

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 22, 2026 1.30am
Catolica 2 - 0 Barcelona

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw has a probability of 25.46% and a win for Universidad Catolica has a probability of 24.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.43%) , while for a Universidad Catolica win it is 0-1 (7.84%).

Result

Boca Juniors 49.92% (-0.09)
Draw 25.46% (-0.02)
Universidad Catolica 24.58% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.22% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.02% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 27.98% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 46.71% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 53.29% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 24.54% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 75.46% (-0.17)
Over 4.5 13.55% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 86.45% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Boca Juniors 34.31% (-0.02)
Draw 44.21% (-0.01)
Universidad Catolica 21.48% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Boca Juniors 55.95% (+0.05)
No Goal 8.14% (-0.08)
Universidad Catolica 35.91% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 56.84% (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.93% (+0.01)
Under 8 31.23% (-0.08)
Over 9 44.77% (+0.06)
Equal 9 12.07% (+0.01)
Under 9 43.16% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 33.62% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 66.38% (-0.05)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 1.5 44.37% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 55.63% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 19.79% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 80.21% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 6.98% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 93.02% (-0.05)

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5 58.77% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 41.23% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 24.24% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 75.76% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 7.21% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 92.79% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 1.8% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.2% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Boca Juniors 49.91%
Draw 25.48%
Universidad Catolica 24.59%
Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 11.98% (-0.16)
2-1 @ 9.52% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 9.3% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.82% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.97% (+0.05)
Total : 49.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.14% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.23% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.48%
Universidad Catolica
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.65% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.18% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.79% (+0.02)
Total : 24.59%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 1
Apr 8, 2026 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo
  • Fernando Zuqui 46' yellowcard
  • Matias Palavecino 56' yellowcard
  • Juan Ignacio Díaz 83' goal
  • Jimmy Martínez 88' yellowcard
  • Diego Valencia 88' yellowcard
  • Diego Corral 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Leandro Paredes 16'
  • goal Adam Bareiro 65'
  • yellowcard Ander Herrera 70'
  • yellowcard Juan Barinaga 76'
  • yellowcard Milton Giménez  76'
  • yellowcard Marco Pellegrino 90'+4'