Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 49.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.29% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 24.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%) , while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.