Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.