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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 31.57% ( | 22.59% ( | 45.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 65.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.59% ( | 35.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.56% ( | 57.44% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.52% ( | 22.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.98% ( | 56.02% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.02% ( | 15.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.72% ( | 45.27% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 1-0 @ 5.36% ( 2-0 @ 4% ( 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 3-0 @ 1.99% ( 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 4-2 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 3.27% Total : 31.57% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( 2-2 @ 6.73% ( 0-0 @ 3.59% ( 3-3 @ 2.05% ( Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0-2 @ 6.04% ( 1-3 @ 5.51% ( 2-3 @ 4.11% ( 0-3 @ 3.69% ( 1-4 @ 2.53% ( 2-4 @ 1.89% ( 0-4 @ 1.69% ( 3-4 @ 0.94% ( 1-5 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 45.84% |