Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 72.04%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 12.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.33%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.