Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.49%) and 1-3 (4.99%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.