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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.59%) and 3-1 (5%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 41.12% ( | 22.37% ( | 36.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 67.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.29% ( | 32.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.61% ( | 54.39% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.29% ( | 16.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.39% ( | 46.61% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.31% ( | 18.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.96% ( | 50.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 1-0 @ 5.59% ( 3-1 @ 5% ( 2-0 @ 5% ( 3-2 @ 4.19% ( 3-0 @ 2.98% ( 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 4-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 3.48% Total : 41.12% | 1-1 @ 9.37% ( 2-2 @ 7.03% ( 0-0 @ 3.12% ( 3-3 @ 2.34% ( Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.37% | 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0-1 @ 5.24% ( 1-3 @ 4.39% ( 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 2-3 @ 3.93% ( 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 1-4 @ 1.84% 2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 3-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 36.51% |