Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.59%) and 3-1 (5%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.