/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fherlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Fneclog.png)
-
Sem Scheperman
47'
-
Sontje Hansen
55'
-
Basar Onal
63'
-
Sami Ouaissa
78'
Heracles vs NEC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F03%2Ferwin-van-de-looi.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for NEC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for NEC.
Result
Heracles
28.39%
▼
(-0.06)
Draw
24.01%
▲
(+0.14)
NEC
47.6%
▼
(-0.09)
Both Teams to Score:
57.98%
▼
(-0.50)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.04%
▼
(-0.64)
Under 2.5
43.96%
▲
(+0.64)
Over 3.5
33.66%
▼
(-0.63)
Under 3.5
66.34%
▲
(+0.63)
Over 4.5
17.27%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 4.5
82.73%
▲
(+0.46)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5
71.24%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 0.5
28.76%
▲
(+0.37)
Over 1.5
35.4%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 1.5
64.6%
▲
(+0.46)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5
81.39%
▼
(-0.28)
Under 0.5
18.61%
▲
(+0.28)
Over 1.5
50.1%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 1.5
49.9%
▲
(+0.47)
Score analysis
Heracles
28.39%
Draw
24%
NEC
47.6%
Heracles
2-1
@
6.99%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.67% ▲ (+0.12)
2-0 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 28.39%
1-0 @ 6.67% ▲ (+0.12)
2-0 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 28.39%
Draw
1-1
@
11.21%
▲
(+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24%
2-2 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24%
NEC
1-2
@
9.43%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 9% ▲ (+0.17)
0-2 @ 7.57% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 47.6%
0-1 @ 9% ▲ (+0.17)
0-2 @ 7.57% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 47.6%
