Eredivisie | Gameweek 34

May 18, 2025 at 1.30pm UK

Erve Asito

Heracles
1 - 2
Nijmegen

Scheperman (47')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hansen (55'), Onal (63')
Ouaissa (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: PSV 4-1 Heracles
Wednesday, May 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 NAC Breda
Wednesday, May 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for NEC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for NEC.

Result
Heracles	Draw	NEC
28.39% ( -0.05)	24.01% ( 0.13)	47.6% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 57.98% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.04% (

-0.63)

43.96% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.66% (

-0.62)

66.34% (

0.62)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.24% (

-0.36)

28.76% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.4% (

-0.45)

64.6% (

0.45)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.39% (

-0.28)

18.61% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.1% (

-0.47)

49.9% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Heracles 28.39%

NEC 47.6%

Draw 24%

Heracles	Draw	NEC
2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.73% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 28.39%	1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24%	1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.29% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.24% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.4% Total : 47.6%