Eredivisie | Gameweek 33

May 14, 2025 at 7pm UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
4 - 1
Heracles

Tillman (18', 40'), Saibari (21', 35')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Engels (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Last Game: Feyenoord 2-3 PSV
Sunday, May 11 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: Willem II 1-2 Heracles
Friday, May 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 85.29%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 5.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 4-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.18%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (1.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Heracles
85.29% ( 0.01)	9.5% ( -0)	5.2% ( -0)

Both teams to score 52.69% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

78.3% (

0.02)

21.7% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

59.52% (

0.02)

40.48% (

-0.03)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.52% (

3.47% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

84.85% (

0.01)

15.14% (

-0.01)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.59% (

0.01)

45.41% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.74% (

0.01)

81.26% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 85.29%

Heracles 5.2%

Draw 9.5%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Heracles
3-0 @ 9.97% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 8.38% 3-1 @ 7.87% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( -0) 4-1 @ 6.61% ( 0) 5-0 @ 5.63% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 4.44% ( 0) 6-0 @ 3.15% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.61% ( 0) 6-1 @ 2.49% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.75% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.51% ( 0) 7-1 @ 1.2% ( 0) 6-2 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 4.35% Total : 85.29%	1-1 @ 4.18% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.77% 0-0 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 9.5%	1-2 @ 1.65% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 5.2%