Eredivisie Gameweek 33
May 14, 2025 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT Philips Stadion
  • Malik Tillman 18' goal
  • Ismael Saibari 21' goal
  • Ismael Saibari 35' goal
  • Malik Tillman 40' goal
  • goal Mario Engels 75'

PSV Eindhoven vs Heracles - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2025 1.30pm
Feyenoord 2 - 3 PSV
Goals scored
103
Top scorer
Luuk de Jong

Heracles

All competitions
Last game
May 9, 2025 7.00pm
Willem II 1 - 2 Heracles
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Luka Kulenovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 85.29%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 5.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 4-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.18%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (1.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result

PSV Eindhoven 85.29% (+0.01)
Draw 9.5% (-0.01)
Heracles 5.2% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.69% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 78.3% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 21.7% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 59.52% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 40.48% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 40.03% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 59.96% (-0.03)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 96.52% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 3.47% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 84.85% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 15.14% (-0.02)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5 54.59% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 45.41% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 18.74% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 81.26% (-0.01)

Score analysis

PSV Eindhoven 85.29%
Draw 9.5%
Heracles 5.2%
PSV Eindhoven
3-0 @ 9.97% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.9% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 8.38%
3-1 @ 7.87% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.03% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 6.61% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 5.63% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.3% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 4.44% (+0.01)
6-0 @ 3.15% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.61% (+0.01)
6-1 @ 2.49% (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.75% (+0.01)
7-0 @ 1.51% (+0.01)
7-1 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.34%
Total : 85.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.18% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.77%
0-0 @ 1.58% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 9.5%
Heracles
1-2 @ 1.65% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 5.2%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2024 11.15am
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Erve Asito
  • Brian De Keersmaecker 5' goal
  • Erwin van de Looi 54' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Milani 87' yellowcard
  • goal Ivan Mesik 52' (OG)
  • goal Johan Bakayoko 59'
  • goal Couhaib Driouech 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2024 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Philips Stadion
  • Luuk de Jong 18' goal
  • Olivier Boscagli 56' goal
  • redcard Bryan Limbombe 13'
  • yellowcard Erwin van de Looi 14'
  • yellowcard Jordy Bruijn 17'
  • yellowcard Ajdin Hrustic 31'
  • yellowcard Marko Vejinovic 75'
Club Friendlies 1
Jan 7, 2024 12.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Philips Stadion
  • Yorbe Vertessen 19' goal
  • goal Jizz Hornkamp 67'
Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 3.30pm
0
6
HT : 0 2
FT Polman Stadion
  • Justin Hoogma 21' redcard
  • Navajo Bakboord 26' yellowcard
  • goal Luuk de Jong 22'
  • goal Jerdy Schouten 44'
  • goal Malik Tillman 64'
  • goal Andre Ramalho 69'
  • goal Guus Til 84'
  • goal Ricardo Pepi 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 23
Mar 6, 2022 11.15am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joey Veerman 20' goal
  • Eran Zahavi 55' goal
  • Cody Gakpo 71' goal
  • Philipp Max 86' yellowcard
  • goal Samuel Armenteros 69'
  • yellowcard Anas Ouahim 75'
Eredivisie Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2021 5.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Noah Fadiga 26' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Quagliata 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mauro Junior 30'
  • goal Bruma 39'
  • goal Noni Madueke 63'
  • yellowcard Andre Ramalho 76'