Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 85.29%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 5.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 4-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.18%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (1.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.