Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 66.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.45% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 13.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%) , while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.