Eerste Divisie Gameweek 37
Apr 17, 2026 7.00pm
GelreDome

Vitesse vs MVV Maastricht - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitesse

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.45pm
Vitesse 6 - 1 Jong Ajax
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Naoufal Bannis

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 7.00pm
MVV 0 - 0 Helmond
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Stan Van Dessel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitesse win with a probability of 67.64%. A draw has a probability of 17.87% and a win for MVV Maastricht has a probability of 14.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.5%) and 3-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.71%) , while for a MVV Maastricht win it is 1-2 (4.09%).

Result

Vitesse 67.64%
Draw 17.87%
MVV Maastricht 14.49%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.18%

Goals

Over 1.5 86.04%
Under 1.5 13.96%
Over 2.5 68.31%
Under 2.5 31.69%
Over 3.5 47.34%
Under 3.5 52.66%
Over 4.5 32.76%
Under 4.5 67.24%

First Half Winner

Vitesse 47.03%
Draw 34.6%
MVV Maastricht 18.36%

Team To Score First

Vitesse 67.29%
No Goal 3.13%
MVV Maastricht 29.58%

Corners

Over 8 76.2%
Equal 8 8.84%
Under 8 14.96%
Over 9 65.54%
Equal 9 10.66%
Under 9 23.8%
Over 10.5 53.91%
Under 10.5 46.09%

Vitesse Goals

Over 1.5 68.7%
Under 1.5 31.3%
Over 2.5 43.81%
Under 2.5 56.19%
Over 3.5 23.63%
Under 3.5 76.37%

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5 50.46%
Under 0.5 49.54%
Over 1.5 22.42%
Under 1.5 77.58%
Over 2.5 7.59%
Under 2.5 92.41%
Over 3.5 2.2%
Under 3.5 97.8%

Score analysis

Vitesse 67.64%
Draw 17.88%
MVV Maastricht 14.48%
Vitesse
2-1 @ 9.41%
2-0 @ 8.5%
3-1 @ 7.83%
1-0 @ 7.74%
3-0 @ 6.86%
3-2 @ 3.99%
Other @ 23.31%
Total : 67.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.71%
2-2 @ 5.22%
0-0 @ 3.13%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 17.88%
MVV Maastricht
1-2 @ 4.09%
0-1 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-2 @ 1.53%
1-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 14.48%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie
Oct 21, 2025 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 28
Mar 1, 2025 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT GelreDome
  • Irakli Yegoian 13' goal
  • Justin Bakker 28' yellowcard
  • Nino Zonneveld 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sven Braken 88'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 18
Dec 6, 2024 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT De Geusselt
  • Wout Coomans 14' yellowcard
  • Bryan Smeets 57' goal
  • Ozgur Aktas 68' yellowcard
  • Robyn Esajas 81' goal
  • Bryan Smeets 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcus Steffen 16'
  • goal Tomislav Gudelj 31'
  • yellowcard Anass Zarrouk 33'
  • goal Alexander Buttner 88'