Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 69.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.25% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 13.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 3-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%) , while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.