Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 56.87%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 21.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (5.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%).