Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.31%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.