Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TOP Oss win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a TOP Oss win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (8.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.