World Cup Gameweek 2
Jun 21, 2026 1.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kansas City Stadium
  • Jordy Alcívar 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Bacuna 39'
  • yellowcard Juninho Bacuna 53'
  • yellowcard Livano Comenencia 56'
  • yellowcard Juriën Gaari 75'
  • yellowcard Gervane Kastaneer 90'+1'

Ecuador vs Curacao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Match Analysis

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Ecuador

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 15, 2026 12.00am
Ivory Coast 1 - 0 Ecuador

Curacao

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 14, 2026 6.00pm
Germany 7 - 1 Curacao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.81% and a win for Curacao had a probability of 18.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%) , while for a Curacao win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result

Ecuador 60.83% (+11.73)
Draw 20.81% (-5.25)
Curacao 18.36% (-6.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.47% (+1.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.92% (+6.69)
Under 1.5 23.08% (-6.69)
Over 2.5 55.53% (+10.78)
Under 2.5 44.47% (-10.78)
Over 3.5 35.63% (+11.74)
Under 3.5 64.33% (-11.77)
Over 4.5 24.8% (+11.79)
Under 4.5 75.2% (-11.79)

Corners

Over 8 47.46% (+47.46)
Equal 8 11.35% (+11.35)
Under 8 41.19% (+41.19)
Over 9 36.77% (+36.78)
Equal 9 10.7% (+10.70)
Under 9 52.54% (+52.54)
Over 10.5 27.45% (+27.45)
Under 10.5 72.55% (+72.55)

Ecuador Goals

Over 1.5 56.33% (+13.33)
Under 1.5 43.67% (-13.33)
Over 2.5 33.79% (+15.24)
Under 2.5 66.21% (-15.25)
Over 3.5 18.67% (+12.26)
Under 3.5 81.33% (-12.25)

Curacao Goals

Over 0.5 48.74% (-8.94)
Under 0.5 51.26% (+8.94)
Over 1.5 19.76% (-4.54)
Under 1.5 80.24% (+4.54)
Over 2.5 6.17% (-1.70)
Under 2.5 93.83% (+1.69)
Over 3.5 1.65% (-0.48)
Under 3.5 98.35% (+0.48)

Score analysis

Ecuador 60.83%
Draw 20.82%
Curacao 18.35%
Ecuador
1-0 @ 10.54% (-2.40)
2-0 @ 9.22% (-0.36)
2-1 @ 8.21% (-0.70)
3-0 @ 6.29% (+1.59)
3-1 @ 5.5% (+1.08)
3-2 @ 2.52% (+0.30)
Other @ 18.55% (+12.22)
Total : 60.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.39% (-2.60)
0-0 @ 6.66% (-2.12)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.58)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.03)
Total : 20.82%
Curacao
0-1 @ 5.88% (-2.18)
1-2 @ 4.45% (-1.44)
0-2 @ 2.78% (-1.15)
1-3 @ 1.49% (-0.56)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.29)
Other @ 1.53% (-0.51)
Total : 18.35%

Build-up

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