Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 49.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.32% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%) , while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.