Copa Libertadores Gameweek 6
May 27, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Banco Guayaquil

Independiente del Valle vs Rosario Central - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente del Valle

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 20, 2026 3.00am
Independiente 4 - 1 Libertad

Rosario Central

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 19, 2026 11.00pm
Rosario 4 - 0 UCV

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for Rosario Central has a probability of 27.72% and a draw has a probability of 23.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Rosario Central win is 0-1 (7.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.13%).

Result

Independiente del Valle 48.89% (-1.08)
Draw 23.38% (-0.18)
Rosario Central 27.72% (+1.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.05% (+1.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.43% (+1.15)
Under 1.5 24.57% (-1.15)
Over 2.5 51.33% (+2.12)
Under 2.5 48.67% (-2.12)
Over 3.5 28.97% (+1.81)
Under 3.5 71.03% (-1.82)
Over 4.5 17.11% (+0.88)
Under 4.5 82.89% (-0.88)

First Half Winner

Independiente del Valle 42.2% (-0.61)
Draw 41.36% (+0.19)
Rosario Central 16.45% (+0.43)

Team To Score First

Independiente del Valle 62.6% (-1.59)
No Goal 6.71% (-0.31)
Rosario Central 30.69% (+1.90)

Corners

Over 8 60.59% (+4.25)
Equal 8 11.52% (-0.52)
Under 8 27.89% (-3.72)
Over 9 48.59% (+4.38)
Equal 9 12% (-0.14)
Under 9 39.41% (-4.25)
Over 10.5 37.16% (+4.11)
Under 10.5 62.84% (-4.11)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 1.5 45.86% (+0.71)
Under 1.5 54.14% (-0.71)
Over 2.5 21.29% (+0.28)
Under 2.5 78.71% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 8.53% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 91.47% (-0.05)

Rosario Central Goals

Over 0.5 60.95% (+2.00)
Under 0.5 39.05% (-2.00)
Over 1.5 28.62% (+2.02)
Under 1.5 71.38% (-2.03)
Over 2.5 10.45% (+1.03)
Under 2.5 89.55% (-1.04)
Over 3.5 3.1% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 96.9% (-0.20)

Score analysis

Independiente del Valle 48.9%
Draw 23.38%
Rosario Central 27.72%
Independiente del Valle
1-0 @ 10.52% (-0.83)
2-1 @ 9.24% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 8.75% (-0.50)
3-1 @ 4.62% (+0.29)
3-0 @ 4.57% (-0.42)
3-2 @ 2.7% (+0.14)
Other @ 8.5% (+0.02)
Total : 48.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.52)
0-0 @ 6.71% (-0.31)
2-2 @ 4.64% (+0.38)
Other @ 0.03% (+0.02)
Total : 23.38%
Rosario Central
0-1 @ 7.34% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.61% (+0.44)
0-2 @ 4.22% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.61% (+0.26)
2-3 @ 1.94% (+0.29)
0-3 @ 1.93% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.07% (+0.18)
Total : 27.72%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 1
Apr 9, 2026 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio 15 de Abril
  • Enzo Copetti 63' yellowcard
  • Carlos Quintana 82' yellowcard
  • Julián Fernández 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ronald Briones 57'
  • yellowcard Darwin Guagua 57'
  • yellowcard Ronald Briones 58'
  • yellowcard Darwin Guagua 58'
  • yellowcard Aron Rodríguez 58'
  • yellowcard Andy Velasco 73'
  • yellowcard Juan Riquelme Angulo Caiced 87'