Copa Libertadores Gameweek 6
May 27, 2026 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Banco Guayaquil
  • Júnior Sornoza 64' yellowcard
  • Matías Perelló 80' yellowcard
  • Ronald Briones 80' yellowcard
  • Andy Velasco 82' yellowcard
  • Steven Gongóra 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Youri José Ochoa Sampertegui 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Enzo Giménez 46'
  • yellowcard Pol Fernández 58'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Cantizano 79'
  • yellowcard Marco Rubén 79'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Cantizano 80'
  • yellowcard Lisandro Duarte 89'

Independiente del Valle vs Rosario Central - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente del Valle

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 20, 2026 3.00am
Independiente 4 - 1 Libertad

Rosario Central

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 19, 2026 11.00pm
Rosario 4 - 0 UCV

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (7.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result

Independiente del Valle 48.86% (-0.04)
Draw 23.38%
Rosario Central 27.75% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.09% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.49% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 24.51% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 51.36% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 48.64% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 29.04% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 70.96% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 17.16% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 82.84% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Independiente del Valle 42.17% (-0.04)
Draw 41.37% (+0.01)
Rosario Central 16.46% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Independiente del Valle 62.6% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.7% (-0.02)
Rosario Central 30.7% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.63% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.52%
Under 8 27.85% (-0.04)
Over 9 48.62% (+0.03)
Equal 9 12.01% (+0.01)
Under 9 39.37% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 37.19% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 62.81% (-0.04)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 1.5 45.89% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 54.11% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 21.31% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.69% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.54% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.46% (-0.02)

Rosario Central Goals

Over 0.5 61.02% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 38.98% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 28.67% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 71.33% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 10.48% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 89.52% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 3.12% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.88% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Independiente del Valle 48.87%
Draw 23.39%
Rosario Central 27.76%
Independiente del Valle
1-0 @ 10.48% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.75%
3-1 @ 4.63% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.56% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.71% (+0.01)
Other @ 8.51% (+0.01)
Total : 48.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.14% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.65% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 23.39%
Rosario Central
0-1 @ 7.35% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.61%
0-2 @ 4.22%
1-3 @ 2.62% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.09% (+0.03)
Total : 27.76%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 1
Apr 9, 2026 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio 15 de Abril
  • Enzo Copetti 63' yellowcard
  • Carlos Quintana 82' yellowcard
  • Julián Fernández 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ronald Briones 57'
  • yellowcard Darwin Guagua 57'
  • yellowcard Ronald Briones 58'
  • yellowcard Darwin Guagua 58'
  • yellowcard Aron Rodríguez 58'
  • yellowcard Andy Velasco 73'
  • yellowcard Juan Riquelme Angulo Caiced 87'