Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (7.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.