Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 0-1 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%).