Copa Libertadores Gameweek 5
May 20, 2026 3.00am
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Banco Guayaquil
  • Júnior Sornoza 38' goal
  • Carlos González 43' goal
  • Justin Lerma 64' goal
  • Ronald Briones 74' yellowcard
  • Matías Perelló 81' yellowcard
  • Youri José Ochoa Sampertegui 81' yellowcard
  • Jhegson Méndez 84' yellowcard
  • Djorkaeff Reasco 84' yellowcard
  • Djorkaeff Reasco 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Juan Axel Fabricio Bernal Acosta 46'
  • goal Lorenzo Melgarejo 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Aguilar 66'
  • yellowcard Jorge Recalde 66'
  • yellowcard Hernesto Caballero 73'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Villalba 79'

Independiente del Valle vs Club Libertad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente del Valle

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 6, 2026 1.00am
UCV 2 - 0 Independiente

Club Libertad

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 5, 2026 11.00pm
Rosario 1 - 0 Libertad

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 0-1 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%).

Result

Independiente del Valle 48.34% (+0.03)
Draw 25.7% (+0.06)
Club Libertad 25.96% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.83% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.69% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 28.31% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 46.64% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 53.36% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 24.39% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 75.61% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 13.54% (-0.16)
Under 4.5 86.46% (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Independiente del Valle 37.25% (+0.04)
Draw 42.62%
Club Libertad 20.13% (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Independiente del Valle 56.83% (+0.09)
No Goal 8.1% (+0.09)
Club Libertad 35.07% (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 55.34% (+0.12)
Equal 8 11.92% (+0.03)
Under 8 32.73% (-0.16)
Over 9 43.42% (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.92% (+0.04)
Under 9 44.66% (-0.12)
Over 10.5 32.51% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 67.49% (-0.04)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 1.5 43.31% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 56.69% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 18.58% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 81.42% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 6.47% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 93.53% (+0.08)

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5 60.04% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 39.96% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 25.65% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 74.35% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 8.41% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 91.59% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 2.11% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 97.89% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Independiente del Valle 48.34%
Draw 25.7%
Club Libertad 25.96%
Independiente del Valle
1-0 @ 12.15% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.71% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.85% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.48%
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.38% (-0.05)
Total : 48.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.26% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 8.1% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.03)
Total : 25.7%
Club Libertad
0-1 @ 8.06% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.93% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.02% (-0.03)
Total : 25.96%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3
Apr 28, 2026 11.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Dr. Nicolás Leoz
  • Lorenzo Melgarejo 38' goal
  • Marcelo Fernandez 46' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Aguilar 64' yellowcard
  • Amin Molinas 64' yellowcard
  • Iván Ramírez 72' yellowcard
  • Matías Rojas 72' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Melgarejo 85' yellowcard
  • goal Carlos González 33'
  • goal Carlos González 51'
  • goal Carlos González 65'
  • yellowcard Emerson Pata 70'
  • yellowcard Darwin Guagua 70'
  • yellowcard Youri José Ochoa Sampertegui 77'
  • yellowcard Jhegson Méndez 77'
  • yellowcard Juan Riquelme Angulo Caiced 81'