Copa Libertadores Gameweek 4
May 6, 2026 1.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Olímpico de la UCV
  • Vicente Rodríguez 46' yellowcard
  • Juan Camilo Zapata 54' goal
  • Juan Manuel Cuesta 67' goal
  • Yeiber Murillo 80' yellowcard
  • Samuel Sosa 80' yellowcard
  • Yohan Cumana 87' yellowcard
  • R. Ramírez 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emerson Pata 65'
  • yellowcard Justin Lerma 70'
  • yellowcard Juan Riquelme Angulo Caiced 80'
  • yellowcard Djorkaeff Reasco 80'

UCV vs Independiente del Valle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

UCV

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 29, 2026 1.00am
UCV 0 - 3 Rosario

Independiente del Valle

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 28, 2026 11.00pm
Libertad 2 - 3 Independiente

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for UCV had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest UCV win was 1-0 (8.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result

UCV 30.38% (-0.09)
Draw 25.35% (-0.05)
Independiente del Valle 44.28% (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.17%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.23% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 27.77% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 47.51% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 52.49% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 26.07% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 73.93% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 14.37% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 85.63% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

UCV 19.19% (-0.02)
Draw 42.78%
Independiente del Valle 38.03% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

UCV 34.46% (+0.03)
No Goal 7.84% (-0.05)
Independiente del Valle 57.7% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 46.75% (-0.12)
Equal 8 12.71%
Under 8 40.54% (+0.12)
Over 9 34.88% (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.88%
Under 9 53.25% (+0.12)
Over 10.5 24.73% (-0.09)
Under 10.5 75.27% (+0.09)

UCV Goals

Over 1.5 29.95% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 70.05% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 10.79%
Under 2.5 89.21%
Over 3.5 3.1%
Under 3.5 96.9%

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5 73.3% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 26.7% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 40.59% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 59.41% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 17.27% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 82.73% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 6.01% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 93.99% (-0.08)

Score analysis

UCV 30.39%
Draw 25.35%
Independiente del Valle 44.28%
UCV
1-0 @ 8.67% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 6.73% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.08% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.85%
3-0 @ 2.09%
3-2 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 30.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.84% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 25.35%
Independiente del Valle
0-1 @ 11.28%
1-2 @ 8.83% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.78% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.08% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.79% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.57%
Other @ 5.95% (+0.08)
Total : 44.28%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 16, 2026 3.00am
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Banco Guayaquil
  • Jordy Alcívar 44' goal
  • Carlos González 45'+5' goal
  • Carlos González 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Carlos González 63' goal
  • Youri José Ochoa Sampertegui 73' yellowcard
  • Emerson Pata 73' yellowcard
  • Darwin Guagua 73' yellowcard
  • Jhegson Méndez 73' yellowcard
  • Matías Perelló 73' yellowcard
  • Andy Velasco 80' yellowcard
  • goal Jovanny Bolívar 21'
  • yellowcard Vicente Rodríguez 46'
  • yellowcard Yeiber Murillo 64'
  • yellowcard Yohan Cumana 72'
  • yellowcard R. Ramírez 72'
  • yellowcard Charlis Ortiz 83'