Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for UCV had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest UCV win was 1-0 (8.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.