Copa Libertadores Gameweek 5
May 19, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio 15 de Abril

Rosario Central vs UCV - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rosario Central

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 5, 2026 11.00pm
Rosario 1 - 0 Libertad

UCV

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 6, 2026 1.00am
UCV 2 - 0 Independiente

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rosario Central win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw has a probability of 23.78% and a win for UCV has a probability of 17.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.33%) , while for a UCV win it is 0-1 (6.23%).

Result

Rosario Central 58.74% (-0.01)
Draw 23.78%
UCV 17.51% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.62% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.5% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 28.5% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 46.25% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 53.75% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 23.17%
Under 3.5 76.83%
Over 4.5 13.3%
Under 4.5 86.7%

First Half Winner

Rosario Central 37.95% (-0.01)
Draw 44.32%
UCV 17.72% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Rosario Central 59.72% (+0.02)
No Goal 8.17%
UCV 32.11% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 53.63%
Equal 8 12.15%
Under 8 34.22%
Over 9 41.65%
Equal 9 11.99%
Under 9 46.37%
Over 10.5 30.82%
Under 10.5 69.18%

Rosario Central Goals

Over 1.5 49.88% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 50.12% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 23.35% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 76.65% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 8.65% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.35% (-0.02)

UCV Goals

Over 0.5 50.64% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 49.36% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 17.72%
Under 1.5 82.28%
Over 2.5 4.47% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 95.53% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.96% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.04% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Rosario Central 58.74%
Draw 23.78%
UCV 17.5%
Rosario Central
1-0 @ 14.12% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 11.56%
2-1 @ 10.29%
3-0 @ 6.9%
3-1 @ 5.07%
3-2 @ 2.17%
Other @ 8.63% (+0.02)
Total : 58.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.33% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.17%
2-2 @ 3.7%
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 23.78%
UCV
0-1 @ 6.23%
1-2 @ 5%
0-2 @ 2.38% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.94% (-0.02)
Total : 17.5%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3
Apr 29, 2026 1.00am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Olímpico de la UCV
  • Samuel Sosa 46' yellowcard
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Yeiber Murillo 84' yellowcard
  • Vicente Rodríguez 84' yellowcard
  • goal Ignacio Ovando 35'
  • yellowcard Pol Fernández 46'
  • yellowcard Ángel Di María 53'
  • yellowcard Enzo Giménez 65'
  • yellowcard Federico Navarro 80'
  • yellowcard Enzo Copetti 80'
  • yellowcard Carlos Quintana 87'
  • goal Enzo Copetti 90'+3'