Copa Libertadores
Aug 26, 2026 1.30am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Banco Guayaquil
  • D. Romero 59' goal
  • Carlos González 70' goal
  • Júnior Sornoza 74' yellowcard
  • Matías Perelló 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Adrián Parra 58'
  • yellowcard Homer Martínez 65'
  • yellowcard Sebastián Guzmán 80'
  • goal Junior Hernández 84'

Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente del Valle

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Aug 19, 2026 1.30am
Tolima 0 - 1 Independiente

Deportes Tolima

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Aug 19, 2026 1.30am
Tolima 0 - 1 Independiente

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.38% and a win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 16.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%) , while for a Deportes Tolima win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Independiente del Valle 62.58%
Draw 21.38%
Deportes Tolima 16.05%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.03%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.93% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 23.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 52.84%
Under 2.5 47.16%
Over 3.5 30.72%
Under 3.5 69.28%
Over 4.5 19.4%
Under 4.5 80.6%

First Half Winner

Independiente del Valle 46.71%
Draw 38.94%
Deportes Tolima 14.35%

Team To Score First

Independiente del Valle 68.2%
No Goal 6.14%
Deportes Tolima 25.66%

Corners

Over 8 49.74%
Equal 8 11.3%
Under 8 38.96%
Over 9 38.9%
Equal 9 10.84%
Under 9 50.26%
Over 10.5 29.3%
Under 10.5 70.7%

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 1.5 56.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 43.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 30.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 69.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 13.54%
Under 3.5 86.46%

Deportes Tolima Goals

Over 0.5 49.58%
Under 0.5 50.42%
Over 1.5 18.7%
Under 1.5 81.3%
Over 2.5 5.51%
Under 2.5 94.49%
Over 3.5 1.42%
Under 3.5 98.58%

Score analysis

Independiente del Valle 62.56%
Draw 21.39%
Deportes Tolima 16.04%
Independiente del Valle
1-0 @ 11.91%
2-0 @ 11.66%
2-1 @ 9.77%
3-0 @ 7.35% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.92%
3-2 @ 2.6%
Other @ 13.35%
Total : 62.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.18%
0-0 @ 6.14%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.39%
Deportes Tolima
0-1 @ 5.01%
1-2 @ 4.23%
0-2 @ 2.25%
1-3 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 16.04%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Aug 19, 2026 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
  • Junior Hernández 31' yellowcard
  • Luis Sánchez 34' yellowcard
  • goal Aron Rodríguez 11'
  • yellowcard Richard Schunke 47'
  • yellowcard Mateo Carabajal 52'
Copa Libertadores
May 5, 2022 3.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
  • Julian Quinones 15' yellowcard
  • Jose Moya 23' yellowcard
  • Juan David Rios 28' yellowcard
  • Anderson Plata 31' yellowcard
  • Andres Ibarguen 88' goal
  • Andres Ibarguen 89' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Urena 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mateo Carabajal 33'
  • yellowcard Joel Leandro Ordonez Guerrero 73'
  • yellowcard Joel Ordonez 73'
Copa Libertadores
Apr 14, 2022 3.00am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio General Rumiñahui del Valle de Los Chillos
  • Jhoanner Chavez 33' yellowcard
  • Junior Sornoza 52' goal
  • Luis Segovia 67' yellowcard
  • Junior Sornoza 89' goal
  • goal Jeison Lucumi 15'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Ramirez 18'
  • yellowcard Jose Moya 28'
  • goal Anderson Plata 41'
  • redcard Jose Moya 45'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Marulanda Vasquez 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Marulanda 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Junior Alexis Hernandez Angulo 63'
  • yellowcard Junior Hernandez 63'
  • yellowcard Alexander Dominguez 70'