Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 59.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.05% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 16.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%) , while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood.