FIFA Intercontinental Cup | Second Round
Oct 29, 2024 at 5pm UK
Cairo International Stadium

Al Ahly
3 - 0
Al-Ain

Abou Ali (32'), Ashour (55'), Magdi (90+2' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Al Baloushi (53'), Erik (56'), Cardoso (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Club World Cup clash between Al Ahly and Al-Ain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ahly

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Last Game: Al Ahly 3-0 Gor Mahia
Saturday, September 21 at 5pm in CAF Champions League
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Al-Ain

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Last Game: Al-Ain 4-5 Al-Hilal
Monday, October 21 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Al-Ain had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Al-Ain win was 0-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.

Result
Al AhlyDrawAl-Ain
50.19% (-0.43 -0.43)24.19% (0.173 0.17)25.62% (0.262 0.26)
Both teams to score 54.99% (-0.31 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17% (-0.529 -0.53)46.83% (0.53400000000001 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.91% (-0.497 -0.5)69.09% (0.502 0.5)
Al Ahly Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.3% (-0.37 -0.37)18.69% (0.374 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.95% (-0.629 -0.63)50.05% (0.633 0.63)
Al-Ain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.63% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)32.37% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.12% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)68.88% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Al Ahly 50.18%
    Al-Ain 25.62%
    Draw 24.19%
Al AhlyDrawAl-Ain
1-0 @ 10.14% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.51% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.76% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.99% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 50.18%
1-1 @ 11.44% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.134 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.83% (0.139 0.14)
1-2 @ 6.46% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.85% (0.071 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 25.62%

How you voted: Al Ahly vs Al-Ain

Al Ahly
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
Al-Ain
6.3%
48