Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ain win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Auckland City had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ain win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.15%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Auckland City win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.