FIFA Intercontinental Cup
Sep 22, 2024 5.00pm
6
2
HT : 3 1
FT Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium
  • Fabio Cardoso 6' goal
  • Sekou Baba Gassama 11' goal
  • Matias Palacios 45'+1' goal
  • Matias Palacios 57' yellowcard
  • Mateo Sanabria 57' yellowcard
  • Mateo Sanabria 58' yellowcard
  • Soufiane Rahimi 78' goal
  • Jerson Lagos Giraldo 89' yellowcard
  • Bandar Al Ahbabi 89' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Romero 90'+2' goal
  • Soufiane Rahimi 90'+4' goal
  • goal Jerson Lagos Giraldo 43'
  • goal Myer Bevan 54'
  • yellowcard Abdoul Karim Traore 66'
  • yellowcard Derek Tieku 89'

Al-Ain vs Auckland City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ain

All competitions

Auckland City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ain win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Auckland City had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ain win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.15%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Auckland City win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.

Result

Al-Ain 46.35% (-0.10)
Draw 22.19% (-0.01)
Auckland City 31.46% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.61% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.54% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 33.46% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 44.74% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 55.25% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 26.08% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 73.92% (-0.07)

Al-Ain Goals

Over 0.5 84.95% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 15.05% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 56.45% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 43.54% (+0.01)

Auckland City Goals

Over 0.5 78.4% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 21.59% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 45.31% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 54.69% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Al-Ain 46.35%
Draw 22.19%
Auckland City 31.46%
Al-Ain
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.15% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.83% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.32% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.05% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 46.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.43% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.85% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.25% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 2.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.19%
Auckland City
1-2 @ 7.23% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.98% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.82% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.69% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.5% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.95% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.42% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.34% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 31.46%