Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Al-Ain had a probability of 38.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.91%) and 2-3 (4.55%). The likeliest Al-Ain win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.