Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yunnan Yukun win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Shanghai Port had a probability of 37.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yunnan Yukun win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Shanghai Port win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.