Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenyang Urban win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 37.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenyang Urban win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Sichuan Jiuniu win was 2-1 (8.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.