Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenyang Urban win with a probability of 63.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 16.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenyang Urban win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%) , while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.