Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chongqing Tongliang Long win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chongqing Tongliang Long win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (9.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.