Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chongqing Tongliang Long win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Shenyang Urban had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chongqing Tongliang Long win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Shenyang Urban win was 0-1 (8.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.