Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 (7.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%).