Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 63.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.17% and a win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 16.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%) , while for a Wuhan Three Towns win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.