Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 54.65%. A win for Yunnan Yukun had a probability of 23.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Yunnan Yukun win was 1-2 (5.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.