Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Henan had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Henan win was 1-2 (6.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.