Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 52.26%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.39%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-1 (6.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.