Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 65.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.64% and a win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 15.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%) , while for a Sichuan Jiuniu win it was 0-1 (4.73%).