Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Youth Island win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 24.02% and a win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Youth Island win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%) , while for a Sichuan Jiuniu win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.