Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Qingdao Youth Island win was 1-2 (6.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.