Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 48.54%. A win for Astana had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Astana win was 1-2 (6.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.