Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chongqing Tongliang Long win with a probability of 64.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.28% and a win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 15.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chongqing Tongliang Long win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%) , while for a Sichuan Jiuniu win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.