Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chongqing Tongliang Long win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Chengdu Rongcheng had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chongqing Tongliang Long win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Chengdu Rongcheng win was 0-1 (7.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.