Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 65.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.89% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%) , while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.