Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chongqing Tongliang Long win with a probability of 61.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.43% and a win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 16.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chongqing Tongliang Long win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%) , while for a Wuhan Three Towns win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.