Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Youth Island win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Shenyang Urban had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Youth Island win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Shenyang Urban win was 0-1 (9.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.